Short answer: It depends on sky conditions and geomagnetic activity right now. Real-time aurora visibility is best assessed from a current forecast and local cloud cover. What to check tonight

• Geomagnetic activity: Look for elevated KP index and a forecast of aurora activity for your latitude. Higher KP increases the chances of seeing the lights farther south.

• Local cloud cover: Clear skies are essential. Even strong aurora forecasts won’t help if clouds block the view.

• Position and timing: In general, late-night to pre-dawn hours are often best, with higher latitude locations having more reliable displays.

Where to look for real-time guidance

• Space weather forecasts from NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) for tonight’s potential aurora activity, including viewlines and kp forecasts.

• Local weather or cloud-cover maps for your area to confirm clear skies tonight.

• Regional aurora forecast pages (e.g., national or local science centers) that provide hour-by-hour predictions and visibility windows.

If you want, share your location (city or region) and your preferred viewing time, and I can give a tailored, step-by-step check of the latest forecasts and conditions for tonight.