what can we get if we add up the values that each random variable was assigned, along with the appropriate probabilities?

what can we get if we add up the values that each random variable was assigned, along with the appropriate probabilities?

2 months ago 22
Nature

If we add up the values that a random variable can take, each multiplied by its corresponding probability, we get the expected value (or mean) of the random variable. This is essentially a weighted average of all possible outcomes, where the weights are the probabilities of those outcomes. Mathematically, for a discrete random variable XXX with possible values xix_ixi​ and probabilities P(X=xi)P(X=x_i)P(X=xi​), the expected value E[X]E[X]E[X] is computed as:

E[X]=∑ixi⋅P(X=xi)E[X]=\sum_i x_i\cdot P(X=x_i)E[X]=i∑​xi​⋅P(X=xi​)

This sum takes each value the variable can assume, multiplies it by how likely that value is, and then adds all these products together. For example, if a random variable XXX can take values 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 with probabilities 0.1, 0.15, 0.4, 0.25, and 0.1 respectively, the expected value is:

0×0.1+1×0.15+2×0.4+3×0.25+4×0.1=2.10\times 0.1+1\times 0.15+2\times 0.4+3\times 0.25+4\times 0.1=2.10×0.1+1×0.15+2×0.4+3×0.25+4×0.1=2.1

This means that, on average, the value of XXX is 2.1, even though XXX itself can only take integer values. The expected value represents a long-term average over many repetitions of the experiment, not necessarily a value XXX will take in any single trial

. In summary, adding up the values assigned to a random variable weighted by their probabilities yields the expected value, which is a measure of the central tendency or average outcome of the random variable.

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