The horse favored to win the 2025 Kentucky Derby is Journalism. He is the morning-line favorite with odds of around 3-1 (or 7-2 in some listings), having won four straight races including the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby. Journalism is the only horse in the field with three graded-stakes wins this season, making him the leading contender according to oddsmaker Mike Battaglia and several experts
. Other notable contenders include Sovereignty (5-1 odds), Sandman (6-1 odds), Luxor Cafe (12-15-1 odds), and Burnham Square (12-16-1 odds), but Journalism remains the top pick despite historical trends that morning-line favorites have not won since 2018
. In summary, Journalism is the favored horse to win the Kentucky Derby 2025 based on current odds and expert analysis.