Based on the latest widely discussed projections available through late 2024 and early 2025, the likely control of Congress for 2025–2026 is as follows: Republicans hold the Senate and the House in 2025, with Democrats not controlling either chamber. In 2026, control could shift depending on the outcomes of the midterm elections, but current trend analysis suggests Republicans remain favored to retain Senate control and the House, barring unexpected developments. Key context and factors

• Senate: Republicans gained and maintained a majority in the 2024 elections, giving them control of the Senate going into 2025. This arrangement would persist through 2026 unless there is a significant electoral reversal.

• House: Republicans retained control of the House after the 2024 elections, keeping a slim but stable majority into 2025 and 2026. The exact margin can vary due to special elections or resignations, but the party in the majority is expected to remain Republican through 2026 unless large-scale shifts occur.

• 2026 midterms: All 435 House seats and 34 Senate seats will be on the ballot, making the 2026 elections pivotal for any potential change in control. Most reputable forecasts at the time framed Republicans as favored to retain the Senate and House, though outcomes are inherently uncertain and depend on campaign dynamics, candidate quality, and national political trends.

Notes on uncertainty

• Forecasts for 2026 hinge on numerous variables, including presidential approval, economic conditions, and local races. Early indicators suggested Republicans could retain control in both chambers, but midterm dynamics often produce surprises.

• Public opinion and polling closer to the 2026 elections can shift expectations substantially. For up-to-date, specific seat-by-seat projections, consult current election forecasters and official results as they become available.

If you’d like, I can pull the latest, most current forecasts or official results closer to your target date and summarize the projected control for each chamber with specific party tallies and key seats.