The leading predictions for the winner of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League favor Liverpool as the top contender, followed closely by Arsenal and Paris Saint-Germain (PSG). Liverpool is considered the favorite with a roughly 20% chance according to Opta's supercomputer simulation, bolstered by their strong squad improvements and dominant league phase performance last season. Arsenal and PSG are next in line with notable chances (16% and around 12%, respectively), while Barcelona and Manchester City are also considered strong contenders. These insights reflect expert analyses, betting odds, and simulation models before the competition progresses deeper into the season.
Top Favorites and Odds
- Liverpool: Approximately 20.4% chance (Opta prediction), 6-1 odds in betting
- Arsenal: Around 16% chance, 7-1 odds
- Paris Saint-Germain: About 12.1% chance, 13-2 odds
- Barcelona: Among top bets with 6-1 or 7-1 odds
- Manchester City and Real Madrid also notable contenders with slightly longer odds
Context
- PSG are the defending champions after a dominant final last season.
- Liverpool has heavily reinforced its squad and had the best performance in last season's group stage.
- Arsenal is seen as a team ready to mature and potentially win.
- Barcelona, rejuvenated with young talents, and Man City remain among the likely challengers.
Thus, Liverpool currently holds the strongest projected chance to win the Champions League in 2026, but other top clubs like Arsenal and PSG remain very competitive candidates for the title this season.
