Short answer: At this moment, it's not possible to definitively determine who will win the NYC mayoral race. The race is highly fluid with multiple viable candidates and late-breaking developments, including polls showing varying leads among Zohran Mamdani, Andrew Cuomo, and Curtis Sliwa, plus potential third-party moves and turnout effects. Given the dynamic nature of campaigns, the outcome will hinge on final voter turnout, late endorsements, debates, and how issues resonate with New York City voters on Election Day.