The current U.S. government shutdown that began on October 1, 2025, is expected by prediction markets to last nearly two weeks. Estimates from prediction markets such as Kalshi suggest the shutdown could persist about 11.1 days, with a significant probability that the government will not reopen until October 15 or later. The odds indicate a 38% likelihood of reopening on or after that date, while there is a lower chance (around 23%) that a resolution will come between October 6 and October 9, and about 22% chance between October 10 and October 14. Only 14% of traders foresee an agreement being reached between October 3 to October 5. Historically, shutdowns have lasted about 14 days on average since 1990.