The current U.S. government shutdown in October 2025 is predicted by market estimates and traders to last nearly two weeks, with the most likely reopening date being October 15 or later. The average forecast for the shutdown duration is about 11 days based on prediction markets like Kalshi, with probabilities varying across different windows in early to mid-October. Only a small percentage of traders believe a resolution will happen immediately in the first days of October. This shutdown started early October 1 after Democrats and Republicans, including President Donald Trump, failed to agree on a funding measure. The shutdown could have a serious impact on federal workers and essential programs, and an extended duration risks economic challenges. Historically, government shutdowns average about 14 days, with the longest recent one lasting 34 days in 2018. In summary, the shutdown is currently expected to last around 11 to 14 days, likely extending into mid-October unless Congress reaches a deal sooner.